Airport Factors

Thursday, October 19, 2017

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From time to time, news agencies and government regulators will march out on time performance rankings of US airlines. These same outlets will have you believe that the airlines at the top of the list are so much better than those at the bottom. For the most part, these insinuations are not inaccurate – at least in the time frame the metrics were analyzed. However, there is something that I have never actually seen taken into consideration with these lists that I believe could change the perception of airlines; that being the airport variable. We all know there are certain airports that are just prone to delays and cancellations. I’m sure you could name one off the top of your head. This could be due to many factors including an above average risk of bad weather, large passenger volumes and airport capacity constraints.

Based on this assumption - that not all airports are created equal – it would only be fair to adjust these rankings based on the airports that each airline flies from. So that is what I intend to do.

For this initial research, I only looked at the year 2016. I plan on including multiple years soon. I used data provided by the Department of Transportation (DOT) – specifically departure on time performance numbers. The data set allowed me to break down the numbers by airport. A quick calculation gave me the percentage of on time departures from each airport in 2016. I then used those numbers to create an airport factor that can be used to adjust average on time performance numbers for each individual airline. By design, the airport factor and the percentage of on time departures from each airport are perfectly correlated.


Below is a list of 294 domestic airports and their average on time departure percentage as well as the corresponding airport factor for 2016. My next post will be about using these airport factors to adjust individual carriers on time performance statistics.

Airports with factors above 100 are those where more overall on time departures occur than those - at a combined average - of the other airports.

ORIGIN On Time % Airport Factor
LWS 0.954 112.7
HLN 0.948 112.0
BET 0.934 110.3
EKO 0.931 110.0
PIH 0.930 109.9
ITO 0.930 109.8
GJT 0.929 109.8
TYR 0.928 109.6
BTM 0.926 109.4
GTF 0.925 109.2
LIH 0.924 109.2
SCC 0.923 109.1
BIL 0.923 109.1
GCC 0.923 109.1
SGU 0.922 108.9
CPR 0.922 108.9
ANC 0.921 108.8
HNL 0.919 108.6
YUM 0.919 108.6
BLI 0.917 108.4
CDC 0.917 108.3
RKS 0.915 108.1
YAK 0.913 107.9
FCA 0.909 107.4
SIT 0.909 107.4
IDA 0.909 107.3
JNU 0.906 107.0
LSE 0.905 106.9
BRD 0.905 106.9
KOA 0.904 106.7
ABR 0.903 106.7
CDV 0.902 106.6
BJI 0.901 106.5
OGG 0.900 106.3
ADQ 0.899 106.1
FAI 0.898 106.1
BRW 0.897 105.9
AMA 0.896 105.8
GRK 0.894 105.6
OTZ 0.894 105.6
FNT 0.893 105.5
TWF 0.891 105.2
MSO 0.890 105.2
ISN 0.890 105.1
GFK 0.889 105.1
EYW 0.889 105.0
COD 0.885 104.5
PSG 0.883 104.3
KTN 0.883 104.3
BFL 0.883 104.3
GEG 0.882 104.2
MOT 0.882 104.2
LCH 0.882 104.2
HSV 0.881 104.1
ECP 0.881 104.1
FSM 0.880 103.9
BRO 0.879 103.8
ATW 0.878 103.7
LNK 0.878 103.7
MAF 0.878 103.7
ELM 0.877 103.6
GRB 0.877 103.6
ILM 0.876 103.5
PSC 0.876 103.5
CLL 0.876 103.4
BMI 0.875 103.4
FLG 0.875 103.4
CRP 0.875 103.4
SLC 0.875 103.4
IMT 0.874 103.3
BIS 0.874 103.3
MLI 0.874 103.2
GPT 0.873 103.1
HOB 0.873 103.1
INL 0.873 103.1
LAR 0.872 103.0
TLH 0.872 103.0
MFE 0.872 103.0
LBB 0.872 103.0
TUL 0.871 102.9
RHI 0.871 102.9
EAU 0.871 102.9
BZN 0.871 102.9
LIT 0.870 102.8
MSN 0.870 102.8
MLB 0.870 102.7
WRG 0.870 102.7
AVP 0.869 102.7
PNS 0.869 102.6
MHT 0.869 102.6
LRD 0.869 102.6
RAP 0.868 102.6
PIT 0.868 102.5
JAN 0.868 102.5
ICT 0.867 102.4
EWN 0.866 102.3
OME 0.866 102.3
HRL 0.866 102.2
PHF 0.865 102.2
AZO 0.863 102.0
BGM 0.862 101.8
DAB 0.862 101.8
CIU 0.862 101.8
PDX 0.861 101.7
PIB 0.861 101.7
RST 0.860 101.6
BOI 0.860 101.6
VPS 0.860 101.6
OKC 0.860 101.5
PPG 0.860 101.5
GRR 0.859 101.5
FAR 0.859 101.5
ROW 0.859 101.5
OMA 0.858 101.4
SGF 0.858 101.3
BQK 0.858 101.3
ALB 0.857 101.3
ABY 0.857 101.3
MQT 0.857 101.2
HYS 0.856 101.1
CID 0.856 101.1
FSD 0.856 101.1
JLN 0.856 101.0
SEA 0.855 101.0
PVD 0.855 101.0
XNA 0.854 100.9
DRO 0.854 100.8
CWA 0.854 100.8
BDL 0.853 100.8
VLD 0.853 100.8
ITH 0.853 100.7
MSP 0.853 100.7
LFT 0.852 100.7
DAY 0.852 100.6
LAN 0.852 100.6
CMH 0.852 100.6
GTR 0.852 100.6
MKE 0.852 100.6
OAJ 0.852 100.6
MLU 0.852 100.6
FWA 0.851 100.6
HIB 0.851 100.5
DSM 0.850 100.4
GUM 0.850 100.4
LAW 0.850 100.4
PIA 0.850 100.4
CVG 0.849 100.3
TRI 0.849 100.3
MCI 0.849 100.3
MOB 0.849 100.2
ESC 0.848 100.2
BUF 0.848 100.1
MEM 0.848 100.1
BHM 0.847 100.1
ISP 0.847 100.1
STX 0.847 100.1
CAK 0.847 100.0
DVL 0.846 100.0
SAT 0.845 99.8
DTW 0.844 99.7
SHV 0.844 99.7
MDT 0.843 99.6
AEX 0.843 99.6
JAX 0.843 99.5
STT 0.843 99.5
IND 0.843 99.5
ABE 0.843 99.5
APN 0.841 99.3
CHA 0.841 99.3
FAT 0.841 99.3
AGS 0.841 99.3
GSP 0.840 99.2
DLH 0.840 99.2
TUS 0.840 99.2
MBS 0.840 99.2
EVV 0.839 99.1
JMS 0.839 99.1
TYS 0.839 99.1
SNA 0.838 99.0
COS 0.838 99.0
CSG 0.838 99.0
PSE 0.838 98.9
FAY 0.838 98.9
PAH 0.838 98.9
MRY 0.837 98.9
CAE 0.837 98.9
AUS 0.836 98.8
ROC 0.836 98.8
IAD 0.836 98.7
PLN 0.836 98.7
SDF 0.835 98.6
SBN 0.835 98.6
LEX 0.834 98.6
SPI 0.834 98.5
ELP 0.834 98.5
SYR 0.834 98.5
ERI 0.834 98.5
MSY 0.834 98.5
ATL 0.833 98.4
GNV 0.833 98.4
SAN 0.831 98.2
SBP 0.831 98.1
PHX 0.831 98.1
ABQ 0.830 98.0
CLE 0.830 98.0
CLT 0.829 97.9
ORF 0.829 97.9
ACT 0.828 97.8
MTJ 0.827 97.7
SCE 0.827 97.7
TPA 0.827 97.7
DCA 0.826 97.5
RDU 0.825 97.5
PSP 0.825 97.5
GSO 0.825 97.4
IAH 0.825 97.4
ONT 0.824 97.4
ROA 0.824 97.4
BUR 0.823 97.3
RDM 0.823 97.3
CHS 0.823 97.2
MGM 0.823 97.2
PHL 0.823 97.1
RNO 0.821 96.9
RSW 0.821 96.9
HDN 0.820 96.9
JAC 0.820 96.9
BNA 0.820 96.9
DHN 0.820 96.8
SJC 0.819 96.8
TTN 0.819 96.8
SJU 0.818 96.6
TXK 0.816 96.4
EGE 0.816 96.4
SMF 0.816 96.3
TVC 0.816 96.3
CHO 0.816 96.3
MEI 0.816 96.3
AVL 0.815 96.3
MFR 0.815 96.2
BGR 0.814 96.2
EUG 0.814 96.1
BTR 0.814 96.1
LGB 0.812 95.9
PWM 0.812 95.9
LBE 0.812 95.9
BOS 0.812 95.8
RIC 0.808 95.5
STL 0.808 95.4
SRQ 0.806 95.2
GUC 0.806 95.2
BWI 0.806 95.1
DEN 0.805 95.0
SBA 0.804 95.0
MCO 0.804 94.9
CMX 0.802 94.7
UST 0.800 94.5
CRW 0.799 94.4
SAV 0.799 94.3
HOU 0.796 94.0
LAS 0.796 94.0
MYR 0.793 93.7
DFW 0.793 93.7
OAK 0.792 93.6
MDW 0.791 93.5
BTV 0.789 93.2
BPT 0.787 92.9
DAL 0.784 92.6
HPN 0.781 92.2
PBG 0.779 92.0
RDD 0.777 91.7
JFK 0.777 91.7
FLL 0.776 91.6
ACY 0.776 91.6
SWF 0.776 91.6
SUN 0.774 91.4
SFO 0.774 91.4
MKG 0.773 91.3
SMX 0.772 91.2
MIA 0.772 91.1
PBI 0.771 91.1
LGA 0.771 91.0
ADK 0.769 90.8
ORD 0.768 90.7
LAX 0.763 90.1
SAF 0.761 89.8
EWR 0.756 89.2
ORH 0.750 88.6
ASE 0.747 88.2
ACV 0.746 88.1
BQN 0.745 88.0
IAG 0.744 87.8
OTH 0.663 78.3
MMH 0.590 69.6

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